Climate change projection for the marsyangdi river basin, Nepal using statistical downscaling of GCM and its implications in geodisasters

Geoenvironmental Disasters

Table 5 Projected change in maximum and minimum temperature for three RCPs

Stations	Temp	Baseline, °C		RCP 2.6			RCP 4.5			RCP 8.5
Stations	Temp	Baseline, °C		2030s	2060s	2090s	2030s	2060s	2090s	2030s	2060s	2090s
Chame	Max	16.45	Projected change, °C	0.68	1.02	0.88	0.70	1.19	1.44	0.89	1.59	2.50
Chame	Min	5.13		0.70	1.01	0.86	0.72	1.20	1.40	0.82	1.54	2.37
Gorkha	Max	25.76		0.87	1.07	1.04	0.89	1.22	1.43	0.95	1.53	2.28
Gorkha	Min	15.76		0.75	0.96	0.79	0.66	1.10	1.43	0.83	1.49	2.36
Khudi bazar	Max	26.64		0.49	0.71	0.52	0.47	0.96	1.18	0.64	1.33	2.10
Khudi bazar	Min	14.68		0.84	1.09	0.95	0.84	1.33	1.49	0.94	1.70	2.57